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Research Co. survey: Liberals hold 19-point edge over Conservatives as Canada-U.S. relations rises

Research Co. survey: Liberals hold 19-point edge over Conservatives as Canada-U.S. relations rises

A Research Co. survey conducted Nov. 2-4, 2026 finds the Liberals leading the Conservatives among decided voters, 47 per cent to 28 per cent.

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The Liberals widened a lead over the Conservatives in a new Research Co. survey, with Canada-U.S. relations topping Canadians’ concerns.

Among decided voters in November, the Liberals led the Conservatives 47 per cent to 28 per cent, unchanged from August and up by one percentage point for both parties compared with the prior measure described in the results.

The New Democratic Party was third at 11 per cent, up one point, while the Bloc Québécois was at six per cent, unchanged. The Green Party was at four per cent, down one point, and the People’s Party at two per cent, down two points.

Regional numbers showed the Liberals leading in Atlantic Canada (54 per cent), Quebec (53 per cent), Saskatchewan and Manitoba (49 per cent), British Columbia (47 per cent) and Ontario (45 per cent). The Conservatives led in Alberta at 41 per cent to 36 per cent.

The survey said the Conservatives retained 93 per cent of their 2025 voters but had not expanded their support. It also reported the Conservatives were equally supported among men and women at 28 per cent and trailed the Liberals in every generation.

On generation breakdown, the Liberal lead among baby boomers was 34 points, with 57 per cent for the Liberals and 23 per cent for the Conservatives.

Canadians’ top issue was Canada-U.S. relations at 26 per cent, described as up 14 points. Housing, homelessness and poverty were next at 19 per cent, down four points, followed by the economy and jobs at 18 per cent, down seven points. Health care was at 12 per cent, down two points, and immigration at eight per cent, down one point.

The results also gave different issue rankings by age group. Canada-U.S. relations was the top concern for baby boomers (38 per cent) and Generation X (28 per cent), while housing, homelessness and poverty led among millennials and Generation Z (23 per cent each).

Prime Minister and Liberal Leader Mark Carney’s approval rating was 62 per cent, up three points, rising to 70 per cent among baby boomers. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre had 40 per cent approval, up two points, reaching 46 per cent in B.C. and 45 per cent in Ontario.

On leader approval for other parties, the survey reported NDP Leader Avi Lewis at 35 per cent (up three points), Green Party Leader Elizabeth May at 35 per cent (down two points), Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet at 24 per cent (down four points) and People’s Party Leader Maxime Bernier at 23 per cent (up one point).

Carney led Poilievre as preferred prime minister, 46 per cent to 22 per cent. On Canada-U.S. relations, Carney led 52 per cent to 26 per cent, and the survey reported more than two in five Canadians rating him higher than Poilievre on foreign affairs (49 per cent to 26 per cent), accountability and leadership (48 per cent to 26 per cent), national unity (48 per cent to 26 per cent), the economy and jobs (47 per cent to 29 per cent), energy and pipelines (45 per cent to 28 per cent) and health care (42 per cent to 26 per cent).

The survey said its findings are based on an online survey conducted from Nov. 2-4, 2026 among 1,002 adults in Canada, weighted by census figures for age, gender and region. It reported a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

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