Jason Logan’s NBA betting preview for Thunder–Trail Blazers on Nov. 10, 2026 favours an Under 224.5 total and specific player props.
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The Portland Trail Blazers head into the Nov. 10, 2026 meeting with the Oklahoma City Thunder after suffering two straight losses, and Jason Logan’s betting preview says the home side has had time to “regroup” and tighten its defence.
Logan points out that Portland allowed 124 points to the Los Angeles Lakers and 125 to the San Antonio Spurs in the two defeats, and says the Blazers have been off since Saturday with head coach Micah Nori using the extra time to review film and work on defence.
The preview credits Portland’s early-season defensive profile to a No. 8 advanced defensive rating and holding its first seven opponents to less than 111 points per game on a collective 44.7% shooting, alongside strong key defence and limiting 3-point attempts.
On the Thunder side, Logan describes Oklahoma City’s offence as “sputter[ing] out of the gates” and says early-season injuries have pushed the team to lean more heavily on defence, contributing to a 3-7 over/under record to begin the year.
For a total, Logan’s top pick is Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Under 224.5, with him also indicating he would play it as low as 222.5 if the number allows.
In the preview’s statistical matchup, Logan highlights that both teams rank among the leaders in points-in-the-paint allowed, with OKC at 36.4 and Portland at 45.3, and he adds that Oklahoma City is No. 2 and Portland No. 5 in opponent field-goal frequency within six feet of the basket.
Logan also looks to player props, saying Kenrich Williams is a Thunder option for more offence, citing that his recent scoring includes 11, 12 and 13 points across a three-game span and that his floor time has risen as he has worked into the starting rotation due to injuries.
For Portland, Logan’s prop selection is Damian Lillard over 3.5 assists, noting that after the injury to fellow guard Ja Morant, Lillard has recorded four or more assists in each of the five games since Morant went down, including seven helpers in the loss to San Antonio.
The preview further states that Lillard has increased his drives, from 11.5 in the first four games to an average of 14.0 over the past five outings, and that Portland runs its spot-up offence through those actions—ranking as the league’s top spot-up attack at 35.1 points per game while Oklahoma City has allowed 31.5 points per game to spot-up shooters.
In the betting lines included in the preview, the spread is Thunder -2.5 and Trail Blazers +2.5, the total is set at Over/Under 224.5, and the moneyline is Thunder 55% versus Trail Blazers 46%.
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