Over/under betting picks for NFL Week 9 feature totals of 46.5 (Jets–Chiefs), 50.5 (Lions–Dolphins) and 42.5 (Cardinals–Seahawks), based on a simulation projection model.
The Story
A set of over/under betting picks for NFL Week 9 highlights three matchups, with odds reported from DraftKings Sportsbook.
For Jets vs. Chiefs, the recommended play is the Over 46.5. The Jets have scored 25 and 33 points in each of the last two weeks but lost both games, and they now face a Chiefs team coming off a Week 8 loss to Denver and a Week 7 loss in Seattle. Kansas City scored 24 points against Denver in Week 8 but had only three points in Week 7 against Seattle. The projection model cited in the betting write-up says the Over hits about 60% of the time, projecting a Chiefs win with a 30-20 score.
For Lions vs. Dolphins, the recommended play is the Over 50.5. Detroit is described as No. 3 in points per game, while Miami is listed as 1-6 this season but scored 24, 28 and 19 points in its last three games after totaling 13 or fewer in each of the first four games. The projection model cited says the Over cashes 63% of the time, with a predicted final of Detroit 36, Miami 22.
For Cardinals vs. Seahawks, the recommended play is the Over 42.5. The betting write-up says Seattle was dominated by Chicago on Monday Night Football and is now 4-4 after going 14-3 and winning the Super Bowl, while Arizona is 3-5 and recently made a quarterback change. It says Gardner Minshew led a comeback for an overtime win in Dallas and will start for the Cardinals in Seattle. The projection model cited says the Over hits nearly 70% of the time, with a projected score of Seattle 32, Arizona 20.
The betting write-up also describes the projection model as simulating every NFL game 10,000 times, noting it entered Week 9 of the 2026 season on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024.
← More stories